World elections, counted calmly.
US · midterms · November 3 ·
Democrats’ chance of a Senate majority: 83%
At the median of 10,000 simulations, Democrats and independents hold 54 seats; at 50, the vice president breaks the tie for Republicans. In the House, the Democratic chance is 98%.
Spain · general election · November 29 ·
PP and Vox reach a majority in 99% of simulations
Fact check
What went viral, checked at the source.
"32 million have voted in the US, 44.9% Democrats"True, with a caveat
The numbers come from the UF Election Lab and show the party registration of those who already voted. Ballots are only counted on election day.
"Texas: Talarico 51% × Paxton 43%"True, with caveats
A real poll (YouGov Blue, sponsored by a progressive group), of registered voters. The October average gives Talarico a lead of about 3 points.
"CNN: Democrats lead in Texas, Michigan, Kansas and Maine"True
Four CNN/SSRS polls, Oct 20–27. Kansas and Maine are within the margin of error.
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